Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorArango M
dc.contributor.authorHenao M.
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-31T21:07:00Z
dc.date.available2024-07-31T21:07:00Z
dc.date.created2024
dc.identifier.issn16469895
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11407/8447
dc.descriptionThe sustainability of companies in the long term depends on the cost of financing. Given that the behavior of this variable originates from the monetary policy of the central banks on the interest rate, this work takes as a proxy, the cost of Colombian business indebtedness, the Reference Banking Indicator (IBR), which reflects the minimum rate at which banks are willing to offer resources. In order to describe the behavior of the IBR, its autocorrelation and relationship with the rates of the main American economies with which it has commercial relations are analyzed: United States, Mexico, Brazil, Chile and Peru. After making multiple estimates, the empirical evidence shows the greatest fit in 12 ARIMAX-IGARCH models, the findings indicate that changes in the monetary policy rates of commercially close countries determine the cost of debt for Colombian companies. © 2024, Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao. All rights reserved.
dc.language.isospa
dc.publisherAssociacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao
dc.relation.isversionofhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85187192485&partnerID=40&md5=fa71b11a08366fffa503601f94728203
dc.sourceRISTI - Revista Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao
dc.sourceRev. Iberica Sist. Tecnol. Inf.
dc.sourceScopus
dc.subjectARIMAX – IGARCHeng
dc.subjectCost of corporate borrowingeng
dc.subjectMonetary policy rateeng
dc.titleMonetary policy as determinants in the cost of business financing [La política monetaria como determinante en el costo de financiación empresarial]eng
dc.typearticle
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.publisher.programIngeniería Financieraspa
dc.type.spaArtículo
dc.relation.citationvolume2023
dc.relation.citationissueE65
dc.relation.citationstartpage289
dc.relation.citationendpage301
dc.publisher.facultyFacultad de Ingenieríasspa
dc.affiliationArango, M., Universidad de Medellín/Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia
dc.affiliationHenao, M., Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia
dc.relation.referencesAi, H., Bhandari, A., Asset Pricing With Endogenously Uninsurable Tail Risk (2021) Econometrica, 89 (3), pp. 1471-1505. , https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta15142
dc.relation.referencesArgáez, J., Un paseo por el modelo GARCH y sus variantes (2014) UADY, 10, pp. 35-50. , B. J.. G. E.. K. C.. M. S.. P. H
dc.relation.references(2023) Informe de Política Monetaria-Enero 2023, , (January). Banrep
dc.relation.referencesBello-Angulo, D., Mantilla-Duarte, C., Montes-Paez, E., Guerrero-Martin, C., Box–Jenkins Methodology Application to Improve Crude Oil Production Forecasting: Case Study in a Colombian Field (2022) Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering, 47 (9), pp. 11269-11278. , https://doi.org/10.1007/s13369-021-05997-7
dc.relation.referencesBollerslev, T., Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986) Journal of Econometrics, 31 (3), pp. 307-327. , https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(86)90063-1
dc.relation.referencesBox, G. E., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C., Ljung, G. M., (2015) Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, 37. , https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.12194
dc.relation.referencesBoyer, B. H., Nadauld, T. D., Vorkink, K. P., Weisbach, M. S., Discount-Rate Risk in Private Equity: Evidence from Secondary Market Transactions (2023) Journal of Finance, 78 (2), pp. 835-885. , https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13202
dc.relation.references(2022) Economías de América Latina y el Caribe se desacelerarán en 2023 y crecerán 1,3%, , (December). Cepal.Org
dc.relation.referencesda Silva, T. G., de Carvalho Guillén, O. T., Morcerf, G. A. N., de Melo Modenesi, A., Effects of monetary policy news on financial assets: Evidence from Brazil on a bivariate VAR-GARCH model (2006–17) (2022) Emerging Markets Review, 52. , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2022.100916, (March 2021)
dc.relation.referencesDe La O, R., Myers, S., Subjective Cash Flow and Discount Rate Expectations (2021) Journal of Finance, 76 (3), pp. 1339-1387. , https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13016
dc.relation.referencesEngle, R., Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982) Econometrica, 50 (4), pp. 987-1007. , https://doi.org/10.2307/1912773
dc.relation.referencesFleckenstein, M., Longstaff, F. A., Small Business Equity Returns: Empirical Evidence from the Business Credit Card Securitization Market (2023) Journal of Finance, 78 (1), pp. 389-425. , https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13200
dc.relation.referencesGuleryuz, D., Forecasting outbreak of COVID-19 in Turkey
dc.relation.referencesComparison of Box–Jenkins, Brown’s exponential smoothing and long short-term memory models (2021) Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 149, pp. 927-935. , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.psep.2021.03.032
dc.relation.referencesMerton, R. C., on the Pricing of Corporate Debt: the Risk Structure of Interest Rates
dc.relation.references(1974) The Journal of Finance, 29 (2), pp. 449-470. , https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1974.tb03058.x
dc.relation.referencesMusbah, H., Aly, H. H., Little, T. A., A Novel Approach for Seasonality and Trend Detection using Fast Fourier Transform in Box-Jenkins Algorithm (2020) 2020 IEEE Canadian Conference on Electrical and Computer Engineering (CCECE), pp. 1-5. , https://doi.org/10.1109/CCECE47787.2020.9255819
dc.relation.referencesOrdorica Mellado, M., Cambios demográficos y desafíos para la política de población en México: Una reflexión a largo plazo (2004) Papeles de Población, 10, pp. 13-24
dc.relation.referencesProtter, P., Continuous-Time Asset Pricing Theory (2022) Quantitative Finance, 22 (5). , https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2022.2063756
dc.relation.referencesWilson, G. T., Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, 5th Edition, by George E. P. Box, Gwilym M. Jenkins, Gregory C. Reinsel and Greta M. Ljung, 2015. Published by John Wiley and Sons Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey, pp. 712. ISBN: 978-1-118-67502-1 (2016) Journal of Time Series Analysis, 37 (5), pp. 709-711. , https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.12194
dc.type.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.identifier.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellín
dc.identifier.repourlrepourl:https://repository.udem.edu.co/
dc.identifier.instnameinstname:Universidad de Medellín


Files in this item

FilesSizeFormatView

There are no files associated with this item.

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record