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Model for forecasting the price of the electrical market in colombia through wavelet transformed. [Modelo para pronosticar el precio del mercado eléctrico en colombia por medio de transformada wavelet]

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Date
2021
Author
Ramírez Y
Arango M
Díaz J.

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TY - GEN T1 - Model for forecasting the price of the electrical market in colombia through wavelet transformed. [Modelo para pronosticar el precio del mercado eléctrico en colombia por medio de transformada wavelet] Y1 - 2021 UR - http://hdl.handle.net/11407/7513 PB - Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao AB - For businessmen, academics and regulators, forecasting the price of electric energy is increasing, since the behavior of the production of goods and services dependent on said product, becoming a fundamental variable in corporate decision making. For this reason, this research proposes a method to forecast the price of electricity in the Colombian market, based on the Wavelet transform, contrasting the result with the traditional ARIMA and GARCH models. Finding that the latter allows a greater adjustment in the short-term forecast, where the EGARCH (1,1) behavior, where the upward trend in prices is identified, generates an overreaction or effect exceeding its volatility. © 2021, Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao. All rights reserved. ER - @misc{11407_7513, author = {}, title = {Model for forecasting the price of the electrical market in colombia through wavelet transformed. [Modelo para pronosticar el precio del mercado eléctrico en colombia por medio de transformada wavelet]}, year = {2021}, abstract = {For businessmen, academics and regulators, forecasting the price of electric energy is increasing, since the behavior of the production of goods and services dependent on said product, becoming a fundamental variable in corporate decision making. For this reason, this research proposes a method to forecast the price of electricity in the Colombian market, based on the Wavelet transform, contrasting the result with the traditional ARIMA and GARCH models. Finding that the latter allows a greater adjustment in the short-term forecast, where the EGARCH (1,1) behavior, where the upward trend in prices is identified, generates an overreaction or effect exceeding its volatility. © 2021, Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao. All rights reserved.}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/11407/7513} }RT Generic T1 Model for forecasting the price of the electrical market in colombia through wavelet transformed. [Modelo para pronosticar el precio del mercado eléctrico en colombia por medio de transformada wavelet] YR 2021 LK http://hdl.handle.net/11407/7513 PB Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao AB For businessmen, academics and regulators, forecasting the price of electric energy is increasing, since the behavior of the production of goods and services dependent on said product, becoming a fundamental variable in corporate decision making. For this reason, this research proposes a method to forecast the price of electricity in the Colombian market, based on the Wavelet transform, contrasting the result with the traditional ARIMA and GARCH models. Finding that the latter allows a greater adjustment in the short-term forecast, where the EGARCH (1,1) behavior, where the upward trend in prices is identified, generates an overreaction or effect exceeding its volatility. © 2021, Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao. All rights reserved. OL Spanish (121)
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Abstract
For businessmen, academics and regulators, forecasting the price of electric energy is increasing, since the behavior of the production of goods and services dependent on said product, becoming a fundamental variable in corporate decision making. For this reason, this research proposes a method to forecast the price of electricity in the Colombian market, based on the Wavelet transform, contrasting the result with the traditional ARIMA and GARCH models. Finding that the latter allows a greater adjustment in the short-term forecast, where the EGARCH (1,1) behavior, where the upward trend in prices is identified, generates an overreaction or effect exceeding its volatility. © 2021, Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao. All rights reserved.
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http://hdl.handle.net/11407/7513
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