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dc.contributor.advisorSepúlveda Cano, Lina Maria
dc.contributor.advisorGallego Burgos, Ricardo Alonso
dc.contributor.authorMazzeo, Agustín José
dc.coverage.spatialLat: 06 15 00 N  degrees minutes  Lat: 6.2500  decimal degreesLong: 075 36 00 W  degrees minutes  Long: -75.6000  decimal degrees
dc.identifier.otherCD-ROM 9035 2019
dc.descriptionEl presente trabajo de investigación revisa los modelos desarrollados para el pronóstico de consumos y precios de energía eléctrica, las variables utilizadas y las métricas de error para medir la precisión de dichos modelos. Tiene como objetivo proponer un nuevo modelo de pronóstico que tenga el menor error posible en su predicción para la variable eléctrica precio marginal local para el mercado eléctrico mexicano. Este modelo se utilizaría como base para que, en un futuro cercano, MVM Ingeniería de Software S.A.S. desarrolle el módulo o producto a incorporar en plataforma Energy Suite que le permita adquirir capacidades analíticas.
dc.description.abstract"The following research work analyses the models developed for the forecast of consumption and prices of electric power, the variables used and the error measures that are used to calculate the accuracy of these models in order to elaborate a new forecast model with the smallest possible error in its prediction for the local marginal price electrical variable for the Mexican power market. This model will become the foundation over where \MVM Ingeniería de Software S.A.S."", in the near future, will develop the module or product to be incorporated in the Energy Suite platform allowing it to acquire analytical capabilities."
dc.format.extentp. 1-147
dc.subjectModelos de Previsión
dc.subjectPrecio Marginal Local
dc.subjectCorto plazo
dc.subjectMercado Eléctrico Mayorista
dc.titleDiseño de un modelo de pronóstico para la mejora de las ofertas comerciales en el mercado eléctrico mayorista de México : caso MVM
dc.publisher.programMaestría en Ingeniería de Software
dc.subject.lembComercio mayorista
dc.subject.lembEnergía eléctrica - Precios
dc.subject.lembIngeniería de software - Estudio de casos
dc.subject.lembPronóstico de la economía
dc.subject.lembSector eléctrico - México
dc.subject.keywordForecast models
dc.subject.keywordLocal Marginal Price
dc.subject.keywordWholesale Energy Market
dc.audienceComunidad Universidad de Medellín
dc.publisher.facultyFacultad de Ingenierías
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dc.rights.creativecommonsAttribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International
dc.type.localTesis de Maestría
dc.description.degreenameMagíster en Ingeniería de Software
dc.publisher.grantorUniversidad de Medellín

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